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运营风险管理(波兰华沙大学).ppt

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运营风险管理(波兰华沙大学).ppt
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运营风险管理,波兰华沙大学,Programme,Aims and objectives: To give an integrated perspective on operational risk management To enhance basic skills of risk management development programmes Key topics: Key concepts of operational risk management Risk research and assessment Risk management,Traditional risk management deals with uncertainty of markets,NASDAQ Stock Exchange,Burst of New Economy,Boom of New Economy,Why to manage risk ?,Only few operational plans run according to the initial schedules and other assumptions There is nothing like an operational programme free of risks. A part of business challenge comes out from the risk behind them. There are many powers working against your plans. Many will enjoy your fall down. Sometimes the operational management requires unlikely decisions, when the unexpected occurs. It is not possible to forecast and programme a convenient reaction against any risk. However a good manager how to adapt his plans to meet the risks.There is a very narrow gap between foolishness and a reasonable risk and it outcomes from a good understanding of potential losses and accepted risk for the owner and participants of the programme or project. Business is like a game. Very often a winners grabs the whole pool. Do you lack the luck, or maybe you are unprofessional ? Adapt or die !,Effects of business projects,Reality What is common for these projects / programmes ?,Eurotunnel Millennium Bug Barrings Bank (trade of derivatives) IRIDIUM cellular network Project Blue,What is risk ?,Risk of unlikely events or circumstances Risk is related to the uncertainty Risk management includes: concepts, recommendations, procedures, methods and techniques, organisational structures, methodologies, which may reduce or eliminate the effects of unlikely events or circumstances,Major errors of estimation of the risk-profit ratio,Case I: A project, which is too risky or costly is being run to its end (Eurotunnel). Effect: significantly lower risk or loss or even crash. C
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